Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-20 0.000146 0.000162 0.000179 0.000199 0.000221 0.000245 0.000273
2025-07-27 0.000117 0.000139 0.000166 0.000199 0.000239 0.000287 0.000348
2025-08-03 0.000100 0.000126 0.000159 0.000202 0.000258 0.000330 0.000428
2025-08-10 0.000086 0.000114 0.000149 0.000199 0.000267 0.000359 0.000494
2025-08-17 0.000077 0.000105 0.000142 0.000197 0.000277 0.000388 0.000561
2025-08-24 0.000068 0.000096 0.000135 0.000194 0.000282 0.000412 0.000621
2025-08-31 0.000060 0.000087 0.000126 0.000187 0.000282 0.000427 0.000670
2025-09-07 0.000056 0.000083 0.000123 0.000188 0.000292 0.000457 0.000745
2025-09-14 0.000052 0.000080 0.000121 0.000190 0.000305 0.000494 0.000838
2025-09-21 0.000048 0.000075 0.000116 0.000187 0.000308 0.000513 0.000900
2025-09-28 0.000043 0.000069 0.000109 0.000180 0.000304 0.000520 0.000941
2025-10-05 0.000041 0.000067 0.000108 0.000182 0.000316 0.000556 0.001040
2025-10-12 0.000039 0.000065 0.000107 0.000185 0.000331 0.000601 0.001167
2025-10-19 0.000036 0.000061 0.000104 0.000184 0.000338 0.000632 0.001271
2025-10-26 0.000035 0.000059 0.000103 0.000187 0.000352 0.000680 0.001417
2025-11-02 0.000032 0.000056 0.000099 0.000184 0.000356 0.000706 0.001522
2025-11-09 0.000030 0.000054 0.000096 0.000183 0.000362 0.000737 0.001641
2025-11-16 0.000028 0.000051 0.000093 0.000179 0.000363 0.000759 0.001743
2025-11-23 0.000026 0.000047 0.000088 0.000173 0.000359 0.000768 0.001814
2025-11-30 0.000025 0.000046 0.000086 0.000174 0.000368 0.000807 0.001967
2025-12-07 0.000024 0.000045 0.000086 0.000176 0.000382 0.000861 0.002168
2025-12-14 0.000022 0.000043 0.000083 0.000173 0.000382 0.000881 0.002283
2025-12-21 0.000021 0.000040 0.000079 0.000167 0.000375 0.000881 0.002341